538 2024 Model

538 2024 Model

Data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. Today the economist launches its forecast model for america’s 2024 presidential election.


538 2024 Model

As in our presidential model, we account for changes in how easy it is to vote in each state based on the cost of voting index, as easing barriers to voting tends to help democratic candidates. (technically, out of a thousand simulations, biden wins 53% of the times and trump.

Today 538 Published Our Official Forecast For The 2024 Presidential Election.

For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up.

Projects, Dashboards, Forecasts And More.

Today the economist launches its forecast model for america’s 2024 presidential election.

Images References :

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat joe biden’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.

Trump Has A Slight Edge In The Polls, But The Fundamentals Favor Biden.

An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.